Independiente Petrolero 1-1 Nacional Potosi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.6
No
44%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-4.0pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.1pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.5pp
44%
BTTS No
42%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Petrolero EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 37%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.07/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.60
-47% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -14%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 71%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
21.7 Crosses 17.3
2.7 Yellow Cards 4.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Petrolero
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Nacional Potosi
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.18 xG 0.72
40% Ball Possession 60%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
163 Passes 362
66% Pass Accuracy 84%
17 Box Touches 17
17 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 4
08.10.2023 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 2-4 HT 1-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
22.04.2023 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 0-1 HT 0-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
05.12.2021 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero 2-0 HT 1-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
08.08.2021 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 1-2 HT 1-1 Independiente Petrolero Independiente Petrolero BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Petrolero
1-1
AWAY Nacional Potosi
0.24 xG 0.85
59% Ball Possession 41%
10 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 2
228 Passes 127
74% Pass Accuracy 59%
19 Box Touches 16
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Independiente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Petrolero and Nacional Potosi shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 32%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Independiente Petrolero had 59% of the ball to Nacional Potosi's 41%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 0.24 to 0.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Independiente Petrolero had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Independiente Petrolero and 1.00 for Nacional Potosi.

What was the final score of Independiente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosi?

Independiente Petrolero 1-1 Nacional Potosi in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Petrolero vs Nacional Potosi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Petrolero win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Independiente Petrolero 36%, draw 31%, Nacional Potosi 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Independiente Petrolero) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Petrolero) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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