PSM Makassar 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Indonesia League 1, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.85
No
47%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-6.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+3.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.1pp
47%
BTTS No
50%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSM Makassar EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya EU Bookmakers 26%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +32%
1.59/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.94/0.87
-7% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +83% / +68%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
328 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSM Makassar
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
282 Passes 304
10.09.2022 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 3-0 HT 2-0 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
14.01.2022 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya 2-1 HT 1-0 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar ENDL1
18.09.2021 PSM Makassar PSM Makassar 3-1 HT 3-1 Persebaya Surabaya Persebaya Surabaya ENDL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSM Makassar
0-0
AWAY Persebaya Surabaya
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 1
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSM Makassar and Persebaya Surabaya fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was PSM Makassar at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, PSM Makassar had 47% of the ball to Persebaya Surabaya's 53%, shots finished 5-1.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, PSM Makassar had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for PSM Makassar and 1.00 for Persebaya Surabaya.

What was the final score of PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya?

PSM Makassar 0-0 Persebaya Surabaya in the Indonesia League 1 on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSM Makassar vs Persebaya Surabaya?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSM Makassar win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split PSM Makassar 47%, draw 27%, Persebaya Surabaya 26%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (PSM Makassar) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ENDL1 More Indonesia League 1
28 Feb 2024
11:00 Persik Kediri vs Barito Putera Analysis →