Rouen 1-1 Valenciennes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Cup, 28 Feb 2024

Rouen
1-1 HT 0-1
Valenciennes
📅28/02/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
France - Cup – 2023/2024

Rouen vs Valenciennes Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.33
Draw
32%
2.83
Away
34%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.48
Over 2.5
50%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.09
No
48%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.2
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
5.68
6+ Goals
11%
34.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 5.68 — our 26% vs market 12.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.59
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
13.75
X/1
10%
4.86
X/2
13%
6.05
X/X
16%
3.4
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
14%
4.9
2/X
6%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
39%
-4.6pp
32%
Draw
32%
+0.1pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
64%
-13.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
36%
+13.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
44%
+8.6pp
48%
BTTS No
56%
-8.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rouen v Valenciennes — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rouen EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Valenciennes EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +44%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
289 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 369 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Rouen 1-1 Valenciennes — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rouen
1-1
AWAY Valenciennes
62% Ball Possession 38%
5 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Rouen vs Valenciennes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rouen and Valenciennes shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Rouen had 62% of the ball to Valenciennes's 38%, shots finished 5-9.

What was the final score of Rouen vs Valenciennes?

Rouen 1-1 Valenciennes in the France - Cup on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rouen vs Valenciennes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rouen win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Rouen 34%, draw 32%, Valenciennes 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✓ BTTS Yes
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