Golden Arrows 0-1 Sekhukhune United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Afrika - Premier League, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.84
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.52
Over 2.5
34%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.03
No
63%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
41%
2.34
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
5.17
6+ Goals
6%
31.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.34 — our 41% vs market 36.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.3pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.6pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-2.9pp
66%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.4pp
34%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.4pp
37%
BTTS Yes
45%
-7.9pp
63%
BTTS No
55%
+7.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Golden Arrows EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Sekhukhune United EU Bookmakers 42%
-6% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
0.97/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.32/1.29
-18% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -37%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 333 · 77%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.6
18.0 Crosses 17.3
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Golden Arrows
1W-3D-1L
AWAY Sekhukhune United
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
0.96 xG 0.80
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
399 Passes 279
80% Pass Accuracy 71%
17 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2023 Sekhukhune United Sekhukhune United 0-1 HT 0-1 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
02.04.2023 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 0-0 HT 0-0 Sekhukhune United Sekhukhune United GAFPSL
10.08.2022 Sekhukhune United Sekhukhune United 1-0 HT 1-0 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
23.04.2022 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows 0-0 HT 0-0 Sekhukhune United Sekhukhune United GAFPSL
25.09.2021 Sekhukhune United Sekhukhune United 1-1 HT 0-0 Golden Arrows Golden Arrows GAFPSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Golden Arrows
0-1
AWAY Sekhukhune United
0.50 xG 0.74
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 8
391 Passes 345
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Golden Arrows vs Sekhukhune United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sekhukhune United nicked a narrow win over Golden Arrows 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 35% — and on the day Sekhukhune United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Golden Arrows had 53% of the ball to Sekhukhune United's 47%, shots finished 13-18, expected goals 0.50 to 0.74.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Golden Arrows and 0.40 for Sekhukhune United.

What was the final score of Golden Arrows vs Sekhukhune United?

Golden Arrows 0-1 Sekhukhune United in the South Afrika - Premier League on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Golden Arrows vs Sekhukhune United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sekhukhune United win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Golden Arrows 34%, draw 31%, Sekhukhune United 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sekhukhune United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sekhukhune United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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