Mumbai City 1-1 FC Goa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — India - Super League, 28 Feb 2024

Mumbai City
1-1 HT 0-0
FC Goa
📅28/02/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
India - Super League – 2023/2024

Mumbai City vs FC Goa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
41%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.4
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.5
6+ Goals
9%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 31% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
22%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
47%
-12.1pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.0pp
41%
Away Win
27%
+14.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.7pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mumbai City v FC Goa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mumbai City EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Goa EU Bookmakers 30%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -19% / -21%
1.24/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/1.11
+9% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -26%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 70%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.8
17.5 Crosses 16.9
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.7

Mumbai City vs FC Goa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mumbai City
4W-2D-0L
AWAY FC Goa
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.45 xG 1.36
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
253 Passes 332
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
18 Box Touches 17
14 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.12.2023 FC Goa FC Goa 0-0 HT 0-0 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
11.02.2023 FC Goa FC Goa 3-5 HT 2-3 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
01.12.2022 Mumbai City Mumbai City 4-1 HT 2-1 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
26.02.2022 FC Goa FC Goa 0-2 HT 0-1 Mumbai City Mumbai City HİNSL
22.11.2021 Mumbai City Mumbai City 3-0 HT 2-0 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL
08.03.2021 Mumbai City Mumbai City 0-0 HT 0-0 FC Goa FC Goa HİNSL

Mumbai City 1-1 FC Goa — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mumbai City
1-1
AWAY FC Goa
1.22 xG 1.40
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
349 Passes 232
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
15 Box Touches 30
22 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mumbai City vs FC Goa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mumbai City and FC Goa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was FC Goa at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Mumbai City had 58% of the ball to FC Goa's 42%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 1.22 to 1.40.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mumbai City had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Mumbai City and 0.67 for FC Goa.

What was the final score of Mumbai City vs FC Goa?

Mumbai City 1-1 FC Goa in the India - Super League on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mumbai City vs FC Goa?

Before kick-off our model rated an FC Goa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mumbai City 35%, draw 24%, FC Goa 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (FC Goa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FC Goa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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