Gomel 3-2 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
30%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
No
50%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
42%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.1pp
30%
Away Win
30%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gomel EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk EU Bookmakers 33%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
349 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gomel
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.08.2022 Gomel Gomel 4-1 HT 1-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR
22.07.2020 Gomel Gomel 0-1 HT 0-0 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk BLR1
POST-MATCH Gomel vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gomel squeezed past Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 3-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gomel as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Gomel and 1.00 for Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk.

What was the final score of Gomel vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

Gomel 3-2 Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk in the Friendlies on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gomel vs Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gomel win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gomel 43%, draw 28%, Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk 30%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gomel) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gomel) ✗ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
HAZ More Friendlies
28 Feb 2024
15:30 Türkiye (K) vs Romanya (K) Analysis →
18:30 Danimarka (K) vs Avusturya (K) Analysis →
20:00 Skeid vs Lorenskog Analysis →
21:00 Notodden vs Eik Tønsberg Analysis →