Heartland 1-5 Plateau United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Nigeria NPFL, 28 Feb 2024

Heartland
1-5 HT 0-2
Plateau United
📅28/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Nigeria NPFL – 2023/2024

Heartland vs Plateau United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.9
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
17%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
No
57%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
26%
X/2
5%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
49%
+2.0pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.8pp
17%
Away Win
23%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Heartland v Plateau United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heartland EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Plateau United EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.04/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.37
-19% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
368 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Heartland vs Plateau United Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heartland
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Plateau United
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
The Meetings
08.10.2023 Plateau United Plateau United 1-0 HT 1-0 Heartland Heartland NIJ
26.05.2021 Heartland Heartland 0-0 HT 0-0 Plateau United Plateau United NIJ
10.01.2021 Plateau United Plateau United 3-0 HT 1-0 Heartland Heartland NIJ
POST-MATCH Heartland vs Plateau United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plateau United swept aside Heartland 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Heartland at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Plateau United led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Heartland and 1.33 for Plateau United.

What was the final score of Heartland vs Plateau United?

Heartland 1-5 Plateau United in the Nigeria NPFL on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heartland vs Plateau United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heartland win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Heartland 51%, draw 32%, Plateau United 17%. The final score 1-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Heartland) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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