Japonya (K) 2-1 Kuzey Kore (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Olympics - Women's, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒12:34 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
53%
1.68
Over
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.13
No
51%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
38%
4-5
26%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
49%
Home Win
59%
-10.2pp
30%
Draw
24%
+5.5pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
43%
+6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
57%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Japonya (K) The Market 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Kuzey Kore (K) The Market 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Japonya (K)
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Kuzey Kore (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.22 xG 0.56
55% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
458 Passes 332
80% Pass Accuracy 74%
8 Box Touches 16
10 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
24.02.2024 Kuzey Kore (K) Kuzey Kore (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) OLIMPK
15.12.2017 Japonya (K) Japonya (K) 0-2 HT 0-0 Kuzey Kore (K) Kuzey Kore (K) Asya - EAFF Kadınlar Doğu Asya Kupası
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Japonya (K)
2-1
AWAY Kuzey Kore (K)
1.53 xG 1.07
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 1
437 Passes 339
77% Pass Accuracy 70%
12 Box Touches 23
8 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Japonya (K) vs Kuzey Kore (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Japonya (K) squeezed past Kuzey Kore (K) 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Japonya (K) as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Japonya (K) had 54% of the ball to Kuzey Kore (K)'s 46%, shots finished 13-13, expected goals 1.53 to 1.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kuzey Kore (K) led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Japonya (K) and 1.00 for Kuzey Kore (K).

What was the final score of Japonya (K) vs Kuzey Kore (K)?

Japonya (K) 2-1 Kuzey Kore (K) in the Olympics - Women's on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Japonya (K) vs Kuzey Kore (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Japonya (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Japonya (K) 49%, draw 30%, Kuzey Kore (K) 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Japonya (K)) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Japonya (K)) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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