Stal Mielec 1-0 Lodzki KS — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
27%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.75
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.25
6+ Goals
10%
21.05
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
2.87
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.0
X/1
13%
4.36
X/2
11%
6.95
X/X
16%
4.23
2/1
11%
28.0
2/2
11%
5.49
2/X
6%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
-0.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.4pp
27%
Away Win
27%
+0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.4pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Mielec EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Lodzki KS EU Bookmakers 30%
+33% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -23%
1.45/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.72
+38% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / -25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 73%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
20.7 Crosses 20.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stal Mielec
0W-2D-0L
AWAY Lodzki KS
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 25
2 Shots on Target 13
2 Corners 10
7 Yellow Cards 2
31.08.2022 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS 2-2 HT 1-1 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec POLK
28.06.2022 Stal Mielec Stal Mielec 1-1 HT 1-0 Lodzki KS Lodzki KS HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Mielec
1-0
AWAY Lodzki KS
1.66 xG 0.41
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 7
354 Passes 404
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 22
21 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stal Mielec vs Lodzki KS
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Mielec nicked a narrow win over Lodzki KS 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stal Mielec as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Stal Mielec had 48% of the ball to Lodzki KS's 52%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.66 to 0.41 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Stal Mielec's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stal Mielec and 1.50 for Lodzki KS.

What was the final score of Stal Mielec vs Lodzki KS?

Stal Mielec 1-0 Lodzki KS in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Mielec vs Lodzki KS?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stal Mielec win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Stal Mielec 46%, draw 27%, Lodzki KS 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stal Mielec), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stal Mielec) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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