Rapid Bucarest 4-1 UTA Arad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Romania - 1st Division, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.03
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
28%
3.1
6+ Goals
9%
9.99
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.1 — our 28% vs market 26.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
11%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
53%
-8.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rapid Bucarest EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY UTA Arad EU Bookmakers 26%
-7% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.15/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/0.78
+21% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +20%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
343 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rapid Bucarest
2W-4D-0L
AWAY UTA Arad
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
277 Passes 262
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2023 UTA Arad UTA Arad 2-2 HT 1-2 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
18.12.2022 UTA Arad UTA Arad 1-1 HT 1-0 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
20.08.2022 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 1-0 HT 1-0 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
09.04.2022 UTA Arad UTA Arad 0-2 HT 0-0 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
29.01.2022 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest 1-1 HT 0-1 UTA Arad UTA Arad ROM
10.09.2021 UTA Arad UTA Arad 2-2 HT 0-2 Rapid Bucarest Rapid Bucarest ROM
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rapid Bucarest
4-1
AWAY UTA Arad
51% Ball Possession 49%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rapid Bucarest vs UTA Arad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapid Bucarest swept aside UTA Arad 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rapid Bucarest as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Rapid Bucarest had 51% of the ball to UTA Arad's 49%, shots finished 18-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rapid Bucarest had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rapid Bucarest and 1.00 for UTA Arad.

What was the final score of Rapid Bucarest vs UTA Arad?

Rapid Bucarest 4-1 UTA Arad in the Romania - 1st Division on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rapid Bucarest vs UTA Arad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rapid Bucarest win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Rapid Bucarest 45%, draw 25%, UTA Arad 30%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rapid Bucarest), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rapid Bucarest) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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