28/02/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-1
Al Najma vs Al-Jandal Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
23%
Draw
29%
36%
Away Win
26%
65%
Under 2.5
62%
35%
Over 2.5
38%
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
63%
BTTS No
56%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Najma v Al-Jandal — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Al Najma
EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY
Al-Jandal
EU Bookmakers 29%
-48% /
-48%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+10% /
+10%
0.50/1.52
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.49/0.47
-63%
/
-42%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-49%
/
+150%
55%
Ball Possession
45%
11
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
325 · 77%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
310 · 76%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
Al Najma vs Al-Jandal Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Al Najma
0W-0D-1L
AWAY
Al-Jandal
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
3.00
52%
Ball Possession
48%
13
Total Shots
11
5
Shots on Target
4
4
Corners
5
5
Yellow Cards
2
The Meetings
20.09.2023
Al-Jandal
3-2
HT 0-2
Al Najma
SUUD1
3-2
HT 0-2
Al Najma
SUUD1
POST-MATCH
Al Najma vs Al-Jandal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Al Najma got the better of Al-Jandal 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 36% — and on the day Al Najma made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Al Najma vs Al-Jandal?
Al Najma 3-1 Al-Jandal in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Najma vs Al-Jandal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Najma win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Najma 40%, draw 23%, Al-Jandal 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Najma) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Al Najma)
✗ Under 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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SUUD1
More Saudi Arabia - 1st Division
28 Feb 2024