Al Najma 3-1 Al-Jandal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia - 1st Division, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
23%
3.11
Away
37%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.52
Over 2.5
35%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.09
No
63%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.4pp
23%
Draw
29%
-5.3pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+10.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+3.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-3.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.9pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Najma EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Al-Jandal EU Bookmakers 29%
-48% / -48% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
0.50/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/0.47
-63% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +150%
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
325 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Najma
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al-Jandal
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2023 Al-Jandal Al-Jandal 3-2 HT 0-2 Al Najma Al Najma SUUD1
POST-MATCH Al Najma vs Al-Jandal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Najma got the better of Al-Jandal 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 23% / 36% — and on the day Al Najma made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Najma vs Al-Jandal?

Al Najma 3-1 Al-Jandal in the Saudi Arabia - 1st Division on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Najma vs Al-Jandal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Najma win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Najma 40%, draw 23%, Al-Jandal 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Najma) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Najma) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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