Trabzonspor 1-0 Başakşehir FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Cup, 28 Feb 2024

Trabzonspor
1-0 HT 0-0
Başakşehir FK
📅28/02/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Turkey - Cup – 2023/2024

Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.53
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.07
Over 2.5
51%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.99
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.12
6+ Goals
11%
10.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1.91
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
16.15
X/1
17%
3.77
X/2
9%
11.5
X/X
12%
5.89
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
21.85
2/2
10%
8.83
2/X
7%
16.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.85 — our 8% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
61%
-12.0pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.0pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.7pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Trabzonspor v Başakşehir FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Başakşehir FK EU Bookmakers 21%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
2.10/0.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.95
-5% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +68% / +1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
384 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.0
– Crosses 14.0
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir FK Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trabzonspor
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Başakşehir FK
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.10 xG 0.93
50% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
391 Passes 384
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
22 Box Touches 16
17 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.12.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
06.06.2023 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 3-1 HT 1-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
14.01.2023 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-0 HT 1-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
22.05.2022 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 3-1 HT 3-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
25.12.2021 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK TSL
19.02.2021 Başakşehir FK Başakşehir FK 0-1 HT 0-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL

Trabzonspor 1-0 Başakşehir FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trabzonspor
1-0
AWAY Başakşehir FK
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 0
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor edged past Başakşehir FK 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Trabzonspor as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Trabzonspor had 57% of the ball to Başakşehir FK's 43%, shots finished 20-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Trabzonspor and 1.17 for Başakşehir FK.

What was the final score of Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir FK?

Trabzonspor 1-0 Başakşehir FK in the Turkey - Cup on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trabzonspor win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Trabzonspor 49%, draw 27%, Başakşehir FK 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Trabzonspor) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Trabzonspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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