Ho Chi Minh 2-1 Binh Dinh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Vietnam - V-League 1, 28 Feb 2024

📅28/02/2024 · 🕒15:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
41%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
16%
X/X
23%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.6pp
32%
Draw
26%
+6.0pp
40%
Away Win
47%
-6.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+1.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-1.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.2pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ho Chi Minh EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Binh Dinh EU Bookmakers 51%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.39/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.95/1.23
-65% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / -34%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ho Chi Minh
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Binh Dinh
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
13.04.2023 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh 1-1 HT 0-0 Binh Dinh Binh Dinh VİET
19.11.2022 Binh Dinh Binh Dinh 2-1 HT 0-0 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh VİET
12.08.2022 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh 1-2 HT 1-0 Binh Dinh Binh Dinh VİET
02.04.2021 Ho Chi Minh Ho Chi Minh 1-3 HT 0-3 Binh Dinh Binh Dinh VİET
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ho Chi Minh
2-1
AWAY Binh Dinh
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ho Chi Minh vs Binh Dinh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ho Chi Minh edged past Binh Dinh 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (27% / 32% / 40%) promised a tight game; Ho Chi Minh found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ho Chi Minh had 52% of the ball to Binh Dinh's 48%, shots finished 12-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Binh Dinh led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ho Chi Minh and 2.00 for Binh Dinh.

What was the final score of Ho Chi Minh vs Binh Dinh?

Ho Chi Minh 2-1 Binh Dinh in the Vietnam - V-League 1 on 28/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ho Chi Minh vs Binh Dinh?

Before kick-off our model rated an Binh Dinh win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ho Chi Minh 27%, draw 32%, Binh Dinh 40%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Binh Dinh) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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VİET More Vietnam - V-League 1
28 Feb 2024
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