Godoy Cruz 0-1 Excursionistas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Cup, 28 Feb 2025

Godoy Cruz
0-1 HT 0-0
Excursionistas
📅28/02/2025 · 🕒01:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Argentina - Cup – 2025

Godoy Cruz vs Excursionistas Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
55%
1.43
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
23%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.67
Over
52%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.44
No
52%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
40%
4-5
24%
6+
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
34%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Godoy Cruz win — 55% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
55%
Home Win
66%
-10.6pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.3pp
23%
Away Win
12%
+10.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
56%
-8.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
44%
+8.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
37%
+10.6pp
52%
BTTS No
63%
-10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Godoy Cruz v Excursionistas — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Godoy Cruz The Market 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Excursionistas The Market 15%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.57/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.42/2.17
+2% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / -17%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
383 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 206 · 67%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.0
– Crosses 13.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Godoy Cruz 0-1 Excursionistas — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Godoy Cruz
0-1
AWAY Excursionistas
0 Total Shots 1
0 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 0
0 Passes 1
POST-MATCH Godoy Cruz vs Excursionistas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Excursionistas nicked a narrow win over Godoy Cruz 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

This one beat our numbers. Godoy Cruz carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, shots finished 0-1.

What was the final score of Godoy Cruz vs Excursionistas?

Godoy Cruz 0-1 Excursionistas in the Argentina - Cup on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Godoy Cruz vs Excursionistas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Godoy Cruz win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Godoy Cruz 55%, draw 22%, Excursionistas 23%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Godoy Cruz), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Godoy Cruz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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