HB Koge 0-2 Esbjerg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark 1st Division, 28 Feb 2025

HB Koge
0-2 HT 0-0
Esbjerg
📅28/02/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Denmark 1st Division – 2024/2025

HB Koge vs Esbjerg Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
45%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.1
Over 2.5
56%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.56
No
43%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.89
2-3 Goals
37%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
2.91
6+ Goals
15%
8.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
4.55
1/2 EV+ ✗
11%
23.0
1/X
6%
13.0
X/1
13%
6.84
X/2
15%
5.15
X/X
9%
5.23
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
19%
2.94
2/X
11%
12.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 23.0 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
31%
-2.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
45%
Away Win
43%
+1.9pp
44%
Under 2.5
44%
-0.0pp
56%
Over 2.5
56%
+0.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
60%
-3.0pp
43%
BTTS No
40%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

HB Koge v Esbjerg — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME HB Koge EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Esbjerg EU Bookmakers 48%
+8% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +12%
1.50/1.54 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/0.66
+29% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
311 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 79%
21.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
14.9 Crosses 21.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.9

HB Koge vs Esbjerg Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME HB Koge
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Esbjerg
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.31 xG 1.22
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
296 Passes 329
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 26
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
24.08.2024 Esbjerg Esbjerg 4-1 HT 1-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
07.05.2022 HB Koge HB Koge 2-1 HT 2-1 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
23.04.2022 Esbjerg Esbjerg 0-0 HT 0-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
19.11.2021 HB Koge HB Koge 3-0 HT 3-0 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1
04.10.2021 Esbjerg Esbjerg 2-0 HT 0-0 HB Koge HB Koge DAN1
21.05.2021 HB Koge HB Koge 1-2 HT 0-2 Esbjerg Esbjerg DAN1

HB Koge 0-2 Esbjerg — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME HB Koge
0-2
AWAY Esbjerg
0.46 xG 0.96
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
364 Passes 371
77% Pass Accuracy 77%
10 Box Touches 21
17 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH HB Koge vs Esbjerg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Esbjerg beat HB Koge 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Esbjerg as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, HB Koge had 49% of the ball to Esbjerg's 51%, shots finished 7-11, expected goals 0.46 to 0.96.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Esbjerg led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for HB Koge and 1.50 for Esbjerg.

What was the final score of HB Koge vs Esbjerg?

HB Koge 0-2 Esbjerg in the Denmark 1st Division on 28/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for HB Koge vs Esbjerg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Esbjerg win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split HB Koge 29%, draw 26%, Esbjerg 45%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Esbjerg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Esbjerg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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