Celta Vigo II 1-1 Merida AD — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.99
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
25%
3.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
52%
1.82
Over
48%
1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.8
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
28%
2.87
2-3
46%
1.71
4-5
21%
3.62
6+
5%
15.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
3%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Celta Vigo II The Market 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Merida AD The Market 30%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.66 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.04
1.22 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.46
Strong Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Weak
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
493 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16 Crosses
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celta Vigo II
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Merida AD
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2025 Merida AD Merida AD 2-4 HT 0-1 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
26.02.2023 Merida AD Merida AD 0-3 HT 0-2 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
09.10.2022 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II 1-2 HT 1-1 Merida AD Merida AD İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celta Vigo II
1 - 1
AWAY Merida AD
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
REVIEW Celta Vigo II vs Merida AD
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Celta Vigo II and Merida AD couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. The 1-0 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.

A gentle 47% lean on Celta Vigo II didn't survive contact with the match; margins like that flip all the time.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 52%, coin-flips both.

The match data tells the story: Merida AD saw more of the ball, 51% to 49%, shots finished 9-18.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Celta Vigo II had the better of it with 2 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.67 a game for Celta Vigo II against 1.33 for Merida AD.

Celta Vigo II vs Merida AD Result & Final Score

Celta Vigo II 1 - 1 Merida AD in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Celta Vigo II vs Merida AD Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Celta Vigo II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Celta Vigo II 47%, draw 28%, Merida AD 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Celta Vigo II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Celta Vigo II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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