Maghreb Fes 1-1 Kawkab Marrakech — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - League, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.76
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.44
Over 2.5
39%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.51
No
55%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
1.92
2-3 Goals
45%
1.76
4-5 Goals
15%
6.04
6+ Goals
7%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
29%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+1.4pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+0.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
66%
-4.4pp
39%
Over 2.5
34%
+4.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
36%
+8.9pp
55%
BTTS No
64%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maghreb Fes EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Kawkab Marrakech EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
1.17/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/0.74
-17% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +66%
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
286 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 191 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maghreb Fes
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Kawkab Marrakech
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
03.10.2015 Kawkab Marrakech Kawkab Marrakech 0-0 HT 0-0 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
14.02.2015 Kawkab Marrakech Kawkab Marrakech 2-1 HT 1-0 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
26.09.2014 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes 1-2 HT 1-1 Kawkab Marrakech Kawkab Marrakech FAS
23.03.2014 Kawkab Marrakech Kawkab Marrakech 1-0 HT 0-0 Maghreb Fes Maghreb Fes FAS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maghreb Fes
1-1
AWAY Kawkab Marrakech
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Maghreb Fes vs Kawkab Marrakech
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maghreb Fes and Kawkab Marrakech couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Maghreb Fes at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Maghreb Fes had 55% of the ball to Kawkab Marrakech's 45%, shots finished 12-14.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kawkab Marrakech led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Maghreb Fes and 1.25 for Kawkab Marrakech.

What was the final score of Maghreb Fes vs Kawkab Marrakech?

Maghreb Fes 1-1 Kawkab Marrakech in the Morocco - League on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maghreb Fes vs Kawkab Marrakech?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maghreb Fes win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Maghreb Fes 54%, draw 27%, Kawkab Marrakech 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Maghreb Fes), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maghreb Fes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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