Torpedo Kutaisi 1-2 Spaeri — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Georgia - Erovnuli Liga, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.53
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.88
No
46%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
16%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
61%
-1.0pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.5pp
17%
Away Win
17%
+0.6pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-2.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+2.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.7pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Spaeri EU Bookmakers 20%
+4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -25% / -25%
1.97/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/4.00
-2% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -56%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
367 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Spaeri
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
27.06.2025 Spaeri Spaeri 0-0 HT 0-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GURCSK
07.09.2023 Spaeri Spaeri 0-2 HT 0-0 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GURCK
14.09.2022 Spaeri Spaeri 0-1 HT 0-1 Torpedo Kutaisi Torpedo Kutaisi GURCK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Torpedo Kutaisi
1-2
AWAY Spaeri
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 8
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Torpedo Kutaisi vs Spaeri
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Spaeri nicked a narrow win over Torpedo Kutaisi 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Torpedo Kutaisi at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Torpedo Kutaisi had 39% of the ball to Spaeri's 61%, shots finished 8-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Torpedo Kutaisi had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Torpedo Kutaisi and 0.00 for Spaeri.

What was the final score of Torpedo Kutaisi vs Spaeri?

Torpedo Kutaisi 1-2 Spaeri in the Georgia - Erovnuli Liga on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Torpedo Kutaisi vs Spaeri?

Before kick-off our model rated a Torpedo Kutaisi win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Torpedo Kutaisi 60%, draw 23%, Spaeri 17%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Torpedo Kutaisi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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