AS Agareb 1-0 Kerkennah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.57
Draw
34%
2.77
Away
39%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.29
No
56%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
36%
-8.8pp
34%
Draw
33%
+0.7pp
39%
Away Win
31%
+8.1pp
44%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.8pp
56%
BTTS No
60%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Agareb EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Kerkennah EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.33/1.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.64
+20% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -34%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
261 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Agareb
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Kerkennah
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
71% Ball Possession 29%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2025 Kerkennah Kerkennah 3-1 HT 2-1 AS Agareb AS Agareb TUN2
15.03.2025 AS Agareb AS Agareb 0-3 Kerkennah Kerkennah TUN2
POST-MATCH AS Agareb vs Kerkennah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AS Agareb nicked a narrow win over Kerkennah 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (27% / 34% / 39%) promised a tight game; AS Agareb found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kerkennah led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for AS Agareb and 3.00 for Kerkennah.

What was the final score of AS Agareb vs Kerkennah?

AS Agareb 1-0 Kerkennah in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Agareb vs Kerkennah?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kerkennah win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split AS Agareb 27%, draw 34%, Kerkennah 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kerkennah) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kerkennah) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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