Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Aqaba Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Moghayer Al Sarhan v Aqaba — Team-Based Signals
Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Aqaba Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
2-4
HT 1-0
Moghayer Al Sarhan
ÜRD
1-0
HT 0-0
Moghayer Al Sarhan
ÜRD
1-1
HT 0-1
Aqaba
ÜRD
Moghayer Al Sarhan 1-2 Aqaba — Actual Match Statistics
Aqaba edged past Moghayer Al Sarhan 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Moghayer Al Sarhan at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Moghayer Al Sarhan had 51% of the ball to Aqaba's 49%, shots finished 11-9.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Moghayer Al Sarhan and 1.33 for Aqaba.
What was the final score of Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Aqaba?
Moghayer Al Sarhan 1-2 Aqaba in the Jordan - Premier League on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Moghayer Al Sarhan vs Aqaba?
Before kick-off our model rated a Moghayer Al Sarhan win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Moghayer Al Sarhan 42%, draw 32%, Aqaba 26%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.