Lanus 2-2 Union Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 28 Mar 2024

Lanus
2-2 HT 1-2
Union Santa Fe
📅28/03/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Lanus vs Union Santa Fe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.48
Over 2.5
32%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.19
No
64%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2.16
2-3 Goals
36%
1.81
4-5 Goals
15%
5.81
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.77
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
15.6
X/1
13%
3.97
X/2
8%
7.64
X/X
21%
3.58
2/1
8%
33.5
2/2
10%
6.89
2/X
7%
16.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-5.2pp
34%
Draw
29%
+4.4pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+0.8pp
68%
Under 2.5
64%
+4.0pp
32%
Over 2.5
36%
-4.0pp
36%
BTTS Yes
42%
-6.1pp
64%
BTTS No
58%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lanus v Union Santa Fe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lanus EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 26%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.63/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/1.28
+3% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / +6%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 71%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
21.8 Crosses 19.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.3

Lanus vs Union Santa Fe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lanus
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Union Santa Fe
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.29 xG 0.99
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
372 Passes 250
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
21 Box Touches 16
21 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.11.2023 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 0-0 HT 0-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
17.06.2023 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-1 HT 0-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
03.07.2022 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 3-0 HT 1-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ
31.07.2021 Lanus Lanus 1-1 HT 1-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
02.03.2021 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 3-2 HT 1-1 Lanus Lanus ARJ
30.12.2020 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 2-0 HT 1-0 Lanus Lanus ARJ

Lanus 2-2 Union Santa Fe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lanus
2-2
AWAY Union Santa Fe
2.22 xG 0.64
62% Ball Possession 38%
20 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
412 Passes 208
78% Pass Accuracy 65%
30 Box Touches 11
21 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Lanus vs Union Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lanus and Union Santa Fe couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Lanus at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Lanus had 62% of the ball to Union Santa Fe's 38%, shots finished 20-11, expected goals 2.22 to 0.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Union Santa Fe led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Lanus and 1.67 for Union Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Lanus vs Union Santa Fe?

Lanus 2-2 Union Santa Fe in the Argentina - Premier League on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lanus vs Union Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lanus win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Lanus 43%, draw 34%, Union Santa Fe 24%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lanus) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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