Adelaide Raiders 2-0 Adelaide City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 28 Mar 2024

📅28/03/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.32
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
47%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.51
Over 2.5
54%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.46
No
45%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
17%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
26%
+2.6pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.1pp
48%
Away Win
51%
-3.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.1pp
55%
BTTS Yes
64%
-9.2pp
45%
BTTS No
36%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide Raiders EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Adelaide City EU Bookmakers 56%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.35/2.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.90
-2% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +48%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
332 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide Raiders
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Adelaide City
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
43% Ball Possession 57%
7 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2021 Adelaide City Adelaide City 5-1 HT 1-1 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders AVNPL
01.05.2021 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders 2-2 HT 1-1 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
12.09.2020 Adelaide City Adelaide City 1-1 HT 1-1 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders AVNPL
25.07.2020 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders 1-0 Adelaide City Adelaide City AVNPL
30.01.2015 Adelaide City Adelaide City 2-0 HT 2-0 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders HAZ
26.07.2014 Adelaide City Adelaide City 1-0 HT 0-0 Adelaide Raiders Adelaide Raiders AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adelaide Raiders vs Adelaide City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adelaide Raiders got the better of Adelaide City 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Adelaide City at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adelaide City led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Adelaide Raiders and 1.83 for Adelaide City.

What was the final score of Adelaide Raiders vs Adelaide City?

Adelaide Raiders 2-0 Adelaide City in the Australia - National Premier League on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide Raiders vs Adelaide City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Adelaide City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Adelaide Raiders 29%, draw 24%, Adelaide City 48%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Adelaide City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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