Adelaide United II 0-4 NE MetroStars — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - NPL South, 28 Mar 2024

📅28/03/2024 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.71
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
54%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.98
Over 2.5
59%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.43
No
45%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
17%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
20%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
18%
+6.1pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.8pp
54%
Away Win
62%
-8.9pp
41%
Under 2.5
30%
+11.0pp
59%
Over 2.5
70%
-11.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
66%
-10.6pp
45%
BTTS No
34%
+10.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adelaide United II EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY NE MetroStars EU Bookmakers 67%
-24% / -24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.00/3.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-56% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -39% / +25%
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
245 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 399 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adelaide United II
3W-0D-3L
AWAY NE MetroStars
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 22
4 Shots on Target 9
3 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.07.2023 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 1-2 HT 1-1 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVSA
08.04.2023 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 1-2 HT 0-1 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
20.08.2022 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 2-1 HT 1-1 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
23.07.2022 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 2-3 HT 1-2 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
23.04.2022 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II 2-3 HT 2-0 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars AVNPL
04.09.2021 NE MetroStars NE MetroStars 2-3 HT 0-2 Adelaide United II Adelaide United II AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adelaide United II vs NE MetroStars
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NE MetroStars swept aside Adelaide United II 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had NE MetroStars as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Adelaide United II and 2.00 for NE MetroStars.

What was the final score of Adelaide United II vs NE MetroStars?

Adelaide United II 0-4 NE MetroStars in the Australia - NPL South on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adelaide United II vs NE MetroStars?

Before kick-off our model rated an NE MetroStars win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Adelaide United II 24%, draw 22%, NE MetroStars 54%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NE MetroStars), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (NE MetroStars) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →