Bijelo Brdo 2-1 Radnik Sesvete — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Croatia - 2.HNL, 28 Mar 2024

📅28/03/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.02
Draw
35%
3.18
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
70%
1.56
Over 2.5
30%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-9.3pp
35%
Draw
28%
+6.7pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.6pp
70%
Under 2.5
60%
+9.7pp
30%
Over 2.5
40%
-9.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.4pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bijelo Brdo EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Radnik Sesvete EU Bookmakers 29%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -46% / -46%
1.39/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.50
-5% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
349 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bijelo Brdo
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Radnik Sesvete
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Bijelo Brdo Bijelo Brdo 2-0 HT 0-0 Radnik Sesvete Radnik Sesvete HIR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bijelo Brdo
2-1
AWAY Radnik Sesvete
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bijelo Brdo vs Radnik Sesvete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bijelo Brdo nicked a narrow win over Radnik Sesvete 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 35% / 28% — and on the day Bijelo Brdo made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (70%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bijelo Brdo had 59% of the ball to Radnik Sesvete's 41%, shots finished 13-7.

What was the final score of Bijelo Brdo vs Radnik Sesvete?

Bijelo Brdo 2-1 Radnik Sesvete in the Croatia - 2.HNL on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bijelo Brdo vs Radnik Sesvete?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bijelo Brdo win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bijelo Brdo 37%, draw 35%, Radnik Sesvete 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bijelo Brdo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bijelo Brdo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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