Stal Stalowa Wola 2-1 Sandecja Nowy Sacz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 2nd Division, 28 Mar 2024

📅28/03/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.18
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
27%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.32
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
5.23
6+ Goals
8%
32.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
42%
+5.5pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.9pp
27%
Away Win
29%
-1.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.5pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sandecja Nowy Sacz EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
1.73/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.55
+16% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Sandecja Nowy Sacz
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
4 Total Shots 6
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
6 Yellow Cards 5
16.09.2023 Sandecja Nowy Sacz Sandecja Nowy Sacz 2-0 HT 0-0 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Stalowa Wola
2-1
AWAY Sandecja Nowy Sacz
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Stal Stalowa Wola vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Stalowa Wola squeezed past Sandecja Nowy Sacz 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stal Stalowa Wola as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Stal Stalowa Wola had 56% of the ball to Sandecja Nowy Sacz's 44%, shots finished 13-9.

What was the final score of Stal Stalowa Wola vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz?

Stal Stalowa Wola 2-1 Sandecja Nowy Sacz in the Poland - 2nd Division on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Stalowa Wola vs Sandecja Nowy Sacz?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stal Stalowa Wola win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Stal Stalowa Wola 48%, draw 25%, Sandecja Nowy Sacz 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stal Stalowa Wola) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stal Stalowa Wola) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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