Povazska Bystrica 1-3 Humenne — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia - 2nd Division, 28 Mar 2024

📅28/03/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.7pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+6.0pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Povazska Bystrica EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Humenne EU Bookmakers 29%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +5%
1.55/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.26
-3% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Povazska Bystrica
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Humenne
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
09.09.2023 Humenne 1-1 HT 0-0 Povazska Bystrica Povazska Bystrica SLVK2
12.11.2022 Povazska Bystrica Povazska Bystrica 2-0 HT 1-0 Humenne SLVK2
23.07.2022 Humenne 2-1 HT 0-1 Povazska Bystrica Povazska Bystrica SLVK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Povazska Bystrica
1-3
AWAY Humenne
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Povazska Bystrica vs Humenne
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Humenne got the better of Povazska Bystrica 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match lean was Povazska Bystrica at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Povazska Bystrica had 60% of the ball to Humenne's 40%, shots finished 17-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Povazska Bystrica and 1.00 for Humenne.

What was the final score of Povazska Bystrica vs Humenne?

Povazska Bystrica 1-3 Humenne in the Slovakia - 2nd Division on 28/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Povazska Bystrica vs Humenne?

Before kick-off our model rated a Povazska Bystrica win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Povazska Bystrica 44%, draw 25%, Humenne 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Povazska Bystrica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →