Shenzhen FC 3-4 Yunnan Yukun — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 28 Mar 2025

Shenzhen FC
3-4 HT 1-2
Yunnan Yukun
📅28/03/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League – 2026

Shenzhen FC vs Yunnan Yukun Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
2.85
2-3 Goals
37%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.78
6+ Goals
9%
16.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.85 — our 34% vs market 28.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.48
1/2
4%
33.5
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
10%
5.34
X/2 EV+ ✗
23%
6.32
X/X
17%
4.28
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
9%
4.51
2/X
6%
13.2
Value flag · X/2 at 6.32 — our 23% vs market 12.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
40%
-7.5pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.7pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.3pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shenzhen FC v Yunnan Yukun — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Yunnan Yukun EU Bookmakers 34%
-36% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-23% / -61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) – / –
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 78%
18.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.5 Crosses –
1.4 Yellow Cards –

Shenzhen FC 3-4 Yunnan Yukun — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shenzhen FC
3-4
AWAY Yunnan Yukun
2.06 xG 1.68
63% Ball Possession 37%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 2
336 Passes 175
82% Pass Accuracy 68%
24 Box Touches 10
39 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Shenzhen FC vs Yunnan Yukun
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yunnan Yukun nicked a narrow win over Shenzhen FC 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 31% / 36% — and on the day Yunnan Yukun made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shenzhen FC had 63% of the ball to Yunnan Yukun's 37%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.06 to 1.68.

What was the final score of Shenzhen FC vs Yunnan Yukun?

Shenzhen FC 3-4 Yunnan Yukun in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shenzhen FC vs Yunnan Yukun?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yunnan Yukun win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Shenzhen FC 33%, draw 31%, Yunnan Yukun 36%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yunnan Yukun) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yunnan Yukun) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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