Sheffield United 3-1 Coventry — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Championship, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
25%
3.62
6+ Goals
10%
14.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.62 — our 25% vs market 22.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
2.94
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
10%
13.4
X/1
13%
4.84
X/2
11%
7.05
X/X
15%
4.67
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
25.5
2/2
13%
5.24
2/X
6%
14.1
Value flag · 2/1 at 25.5 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
46%
-7.4pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.3pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+3.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.3pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sheffield United EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Coventry EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
1.76/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.09
+18% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +16%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 72%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.2
18.7 Crosses 18.2
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sheffield United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Coventry
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.27 xG 2.16
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
303 Passes 340
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
23 Box Touches 28
19 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2024 Coventry Coventry 2-2 HT 1-2 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
26.12.2022 Sheffield United Sheffield United 3-1 HT 1-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
19.10.2022 Coventry Coventry 1-0 HT 0-0 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
12.03.2022 Coventry Coventry 4-1 HT 1-1 Sheffield United Sheffield United İNCL
20.11.2021 Sheffield United Sheffield United 0-0 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İNCL
05.04.2017 Sheffield United Sheffield United 2-0 HT 0-0 Coventry Coventry İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sheffield United
3-1
AWAY Coventry
1.64 xG 1.23
41% Ball Possession 59%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
285 Passes 445
78% Pass Accuracy 86%
29 Box Touches 18
9 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sheffield United vs Coventry
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sheffield United beat Coventry 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 31% — and on the day Sheffield United made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sheffield United had 41% of the ball to Coventry's 59%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 1.64 to 1.23.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Sheffield United and 1.33 for Coventry.

What was the final score of Sheffield United vs Coventry?

Sheffield United 3-1 Coventry in the England - Championship on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sheffield United vs Coventry?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sheffield United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Sheffield United 38%, draw 31%, Coventry 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sheffield United), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sheffield United) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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