Gloucester City 3-1 Tiverton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.47
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
24%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.21
Over 2.5
59%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
10%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
64%
-8.8pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.8pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+8.0pp
41%
Under 2.5
41%
-0.6pp
59%
Over 2.5
59%
+0.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gloucester City EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Tiverton Town EU Bookmakers 19%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +13%
2.77/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/2.36
+33% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
363 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gloucester City
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Tiverton Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 9
28.09.2024 Tiverton Town Tiverton Town 0-1 HT 0-0 Gloucester City Gloucester City İNGNLP
POST-MATCH Gloucester City vs Tiverton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gloucester City beat Tiverton Town 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Gloucester City as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Gloucester City vs Tiverton Town?

Gloucester City 3-1 Tiverton Town in the England - Non League Premier on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gloucester City vs Tiverton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gloucester City win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Gloucester City 55%, draw 21%, Tiverton Town 24%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gloucester City), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gloucester City) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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