Tenerife 2-1 Granada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.38
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.99
No
59%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2.31
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.02
6+ Goals
7%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.7
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
13.65
X/1 EV+ ✗
21%
5.22
X/2
8%
6.12
X/X
17%
3.68
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
14%
4.75
2/X
6%
13.95
Value flag · X/1 at 5.22 — our 21% vs market 15.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 64%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
38%
+1.7pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.1pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.7pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.5pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.9pp
59%
BTTS No
54%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tenerife EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Granada EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.26/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.07
-16% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
269 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
19.7 Crosses 19.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tenerife
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Granada
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.87 xG 1.26
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
276 Passes 331
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.10.2024 Granada Granada 4-0 HT 2-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
10.02.2023 Granada Granada 2-0 HT 1-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
16.10.2022 Tenerife Tenerife 2-0 HT 1-0 Granada Granada İS2
10.05.2019 Granada Granada 2-1 HT 2-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
21.12.2018 Tenerife Tenerife 1-1 HT 0-1 Granada Granada İS2
03.02.2018 Granada Granada 2-1 HT 2-0 Tenerife Tenerife İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tenerife
2-1
AWAY Granada
1.28 xG 1.97
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
281 Passes 243
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 16
23 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Tenerife vs Granada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tenerife squeezed past Granada 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and on the day Tenerife made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tenerife had 52% of the ball to Granada's 48%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.28 to 1.97 — the balance of chances actually favoured Granada.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Granada led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Tenerife and 1.83 for Granada.

What was the final score of Tenerife vs Granada?

Tenerife 2-1 Granada in the Spain - 2nd Division on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tenerife vs Granada?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tenerife win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Tenerife 40%, draw 31%, Granada 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tenerife) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tenerife) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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