Köln (K) 0-1 Carl Zeiss Jena (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Women's Bundesliga, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
30%
3.45
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.8
Over 2.5
52%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
17%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
52%
-6.9pp
30%
Draw
26%
+4.2pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.7pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+6.5pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Köln (K) EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena (K) EU Bookmakers 26%
-58% / -58% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-48% / -61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.0 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Köln (K)
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena (K)
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 2
15 Corners 2
19.10.2024 Carl Zeiss Jena (K) Carl Zeiss Jena (K) 2-2 Köln (K) Köln (K) ALKB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Köln (K)
0-1
AWAY Carl Zeiss Jena (K)
2.77 xG 0.77
68% Ball Possession 32%
29 Total Shots 9
13 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
407 Passes 125
79% Pass Accuracy 51%
35 Box Touches 8
29 Crosses 8
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Köln (K) vs Carl Zeiss Jena (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carl Zeiss Jena (K) edged past Köln (K) 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Köln (K) at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Köln (K) had 68% of the ball to Carl Zeiss Jena (K)'s 32%, shots finished 29-9, expected goals 2.77 to 0.77 — on chances, Köln (K) could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Köln (K) vs Carl Zeiss Jena (K)?

Köln (K) 0-1 Carl Zeiss Jena (K) in the Germany - Women's Bundesliga on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Köln (K) vs Carl Zeiss Jena (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Köln (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Köln (K) 45%, draw 30%, Carl Zeiss Jena (K) 26%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Köln (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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