Slavia Mozyr 4-1 FC Molodechno — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Premier League, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.45
Draw
28%
4.08
Away
21%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.86
Over 2.5
40%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.09
No
53%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.12
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
20%
3.48
6+ Goals
8%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 31% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
65%
-13.2pp
28%
Draw
21%
+6.7pp
21%
Away Win
14%
+6.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
50%
+9.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
50%
-9.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.7pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slavia Mozyr EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Molodechno EU Bookmakers 17%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-10% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slavia Mozyr
4-1
AWAY FC Molodechno
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Slavia Mozyr vs FC Molodechno
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slavia Mozyr swept aside FC Molodechno 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Slavia Mozyr as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Slavia Mozyr had 57% of the ball to FC Molodechno's 43%, shots finished 9-7.

What was the final score of Slavia Mozyr vs FC Molodechno?

Slavia Mozyr 4-1 FC Molodechno in the Belarus - Premier League on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slavia Mozyr vs FC Molodechno?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slavia Mozyr win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Slavia Mozyr 51%, draw 28%, FC Molodechno 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slavia Mozyr) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slavia Mozyr) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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