Al Khor 3-0 Umm Salal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Qatar League, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.18
Over 2.5
51%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
24%
2.87
6+ Goals
12%
8.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
36%
+0.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.3pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.3pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.8pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Khor EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Umm Salal EU Bookmakers 42%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +19%
1.57/2.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.01/1.13
-37% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +49%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
223 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 81%
41.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.9
29.0 Crosses 15.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Khor
0W-4D-2L
AWAY Umm Salal
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.30 xG 1.29
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
251 Passes 301
73% Pass Accuracy 67%
10 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.10.2024 Umm Salal Umm Salal 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Khor Al Khor KAT
06.09.2024 Al Khor Al Khor 1-2 HT 1-1 Umm Salal Umm Salal KATYK
08.01.2022 Al Khor Al Khor 1-1 HT 0-0 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
17.09.2021 Umm Salal Umm Salal 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Khor Al Khor KAT
08.01.2021 Al Khor Al Khor 0-1 HT 0-1 Umm Salal Umm Salal KAT
08.09.2020 Umm Salal Umm Salal 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Khor Al Khor KAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Khor
3-0
AWAY Umm Salal
3.30 xG 1.51
50% Ball Possession 50%
21 Total Shots 18
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 7
301 Passes 302
79% Pass Accuracy 83%
30 Box Touches 31
11 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Khor vs Umm Salal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Khor cruised past Umm Salal 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 27% / 37%) promised a tight game; Al Khor found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Khor had 50% of the ball to Umm Salal's 50%, shots finished 21-18, expected goals 3.30 to 1.51.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Umm Salal led the recent series with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Al Khor and 0.83 for Umm Salal.

What was the final score of Al Khor vs Umm Salal?

Al Khor 3-0 Umm Salal in the Qatar League on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Khor vs Umm Salal?

Before kick-off our model rated an Umm Salal win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Al Khor 36%, draw 27%, Umm Salal 37%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Umm Salal), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Umm Salal) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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