Zlate Moravce 2-1 Liptovsky Mikulas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia - 2nd Division, 28 Mar 2025

📅28/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.29
No
52%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
3%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Zlate Moravce win — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-1.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
21%
Away Win
17%
+4.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-6.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+6.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+7.9pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zlate Moravce EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Liptovsky Mikulas EU Bookmakers 20%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.81
+7% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / +9%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
372 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zlate Moravce
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Liptovsky Mikulas
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.10 xG 0.72
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
267 Passes 251
67% Pass Accuracy 66%
17 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
31.08.2024 Liptovsky Mikulas Liptovsky Mikulas 1-0 HT 1-0 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce SLVK2
22.10.2022 Liptovsky Mikulas Liptovsky Mikulas 1-2 HT 0-0 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce SLVK
06.08.2022 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce 1-1 HT 1-1 Liptovsky Mikulas Liptovsky Mikulas SLVK
21.05.2022 Liptovsky Mikulas Liptovsky Mikulas 0-2 HT 0-1 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce SLVK
12.03.2022 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce 0-1 HT 0-0 Liptovsky Mikulas Liptovsky Mikulas SLVK
12.02.2022 Liptovsky Mikulas Liptovsky Mikulas 0-0 HT 0-0 Zlate Moravce Zlate Moravce SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zlate Moravce
2-1
AWAY Liptovsky Mikulas
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Zlate Moravce vs Liptovsky Mikulas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zlate Moravce nicked a narrow win over Liptovsky Mikulas 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Zlate Moravce as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Zlate Moravce had 48% of the ball to Liptovsky Mikulas's 52%, shots finished 6-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Zlate Moravce and 0.67 for Liptovsky Mikulas.

What was the final score of Zlate Moravce vs Liptovsky Mikulas?

Zlate Moravce 2-1 Liptovsky Mikulas in the Slovakia - 2nd Division on 28/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zlate Moravce vs Liptovsky Mikulas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zlate Moravce win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Zlate Moravce 56%, draw 23%, Liptovsky Mikulas 21%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Zlate Moravce) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Zlate Moravce) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVK2 More Slovakia - 2nd Division
28 Mar 2025
17:00 Stara Lubovna vs Slovan Bratislava II Analysis →