USM El Harrach 1-0 JSM Tiaret — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Algeria - 2nd Division, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
73%
1.37
Draw
17%
4.08
Away
10%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.51
No
52%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
3%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
4%
X/X
8%
2/1
14%
2/2
3%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
73%
Home Win
68%
+5.0pp
17%
Draw
21%
-4.3pp
10%
Away Win
11%
-0.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.8pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
36%
+12.6pp
52%
BTTS No
64%
-12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME USM El Harrach EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY JSM Tiaret EU Bookmakers 14%
+6% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +13%
2.12/0.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.25
+20% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +31%
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
448 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME USM El Harrach
1W-1D-0L
AWAY JSM Tiaret
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
07.11.2025 JSM Tiaret JSM Tiaret 0-2 HT 0-1 USM El Harrach USM El Harrach CZYR2
29.11.2021 USM El Harrach USM El Harrach 0-0 HT 0-0 JSM Tiaret JSM Tiaret CZYR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME USM El Harrach
1-0
AWAY JSM Tiaret
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH USM El Harrach vs JSM Tiaret
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

USM El Harrach squeezed past JSM Tiaret 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had USM El Harrach as the likeliest winner at 73%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, USM El Harrach had 51% of the ball to JSM Tiaret's 49%, shots finished 11-6.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, USM El Harrach had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for USM El Harrach and 0.00 for JSM Tiaret.

What was the final score of USM El Harrach vs JSM Tiaret?

USM El Harrach 1-0 JSM Tiaret in the Algeria - 2nd Division on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for USM El Harrach vs JSM Tiaret?

Before kick-off our model rated a USM El Harrach win the most likely single outcome at about 73%, with the full match-result split USM El Harrach 73%, draw 17%, JSM Tiaret 10%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (USM El Harrach), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (USM El Harrach) ✓ BTTS No
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