Strasbourg (K) 2-2 Lyon (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — France - Women's 1st Divisioni, 28 Mar 2026

📅28/03/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
9%
12.23
Draw
10%
7.78
Away
81%
1.1
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.19
No
60%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
2%
1/2
10%
1/X
2%
X/1
4%
X/2
33%
X/X
6%
2/1
3%
2/2
38%
2/X
2%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
9%
Home Win
5%
+3.7pp
10%
Draw
9%
+0.9pp
81%
Away Win
85%
-4.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-1.2pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Strasbourg (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Lyon (K) EU Bookmakers 91%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
0.40/1.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.89/0.45
+55% / +82% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / +70%
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 6
224 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 438 · 84%
6.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 40.6
9.9 Crosses 28.9
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Strasbourg (K)
0W-0D-3L
AWAY Lyon (K)
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 5.00
0.38 xG 2.89
36% Ball Possession 64%
5 Total Shots 24
2 Shots on Target 11
3 Corners 10
252 Passes 526
74% Pass Accuracy 86%
5 Box Touches 48
7 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.11.2025 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 5-0 HT 1-0 Strasbourg (K) Strasbourg (K) FRK1
01.03.2025 Strasbourg (K) Strasbourg (K) 0-4 HT 0-1 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) FRK1
27.09.2024 Lyon (K) Lyon (K) 6-0 HT 3-0 Strasbourg (K) Strasbourg (K) FRK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Strasbourg (K)
2-2
AWAY Lyon (K)
27% Ball Possession 73%
3 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 12
1 Corners 10
POST-MATCH Strasbourg (K) vs Lyon (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Strasbourg (K) and Lyon (K) shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

This one beat our numbers. Lyon (K) carried 81% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, over 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

On the day, Strasbourg (K) had 27% of the ball to Lyon (K)'s 73%, shots finished 3-22.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Lyon (K) led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Strasbourg (K) and 5.00 for Lyon (K).

What was the final score of Strasbourg (K) vs Lyon (K)?

Strasbourg (K) 2-2 Lyon (K) in the France - Women's 1st Divisioni on 28/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Strasbourg (K) vs Lyon (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lyon (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 81%, with the full match-result split Strasbourg (K) 9%, draw 10%, Lyon (K) 81%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Lyon (K)), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lyon (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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