Aston Villa (K) 1-1 West Ham United (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Women's Premier League, 28 Apr 2024

Aston Villa (K)
1-1 HT 0-0
West Ham United (K)
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
England - Women's Premier League – 2023/2024

Aston Villa (K) vs West Ham United (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.1
Over 2.5
52%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.6
No
55%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+2.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.0pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-1.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.8pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
58%
-13.3pp
55%
BTTS No
42%
+13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aston Villa (K) v West Ham United (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aston Villa (K) EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY West Ham United (K) EU Bookmakers 32%
-44% / -44% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -52% / -52%
1.53/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/0.65
+21% / -53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 350 · 79%
27.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
16.9 Crosses 15.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 0.0

Aston Villa (K) 1-1 West Ham United (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aston Villa (K)
1-1
AWAY West Ham United (K)
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Aston Villa (K) vs West Ham United (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aston Villa (K) and West Ham United (K) couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Aston Villa (K) at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aston Villa (K) had 53% of the ball to West Ham United (K)'s 47%, shots finished 7-10.

What was the final score of Aston Villa (K) vs West Ham United (K)?

Aston Villa (K) 1-1 West Ham United (K) in the England - Women's Premier League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aston Villa (K) vs West Ham United (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa (K) 48%, draw 24%, West Ham United (K) 28%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aston Villa (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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