Örebro 2-1 IK Brage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 28 Apr 2024

Örebro
2-1 HT 1-0
IK Brage
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Örebro vs IK Brage Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.67
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
32%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.74
Over 2.5
48%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.87
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.06
6+ Goals
9%
19.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.22
1/2
6%
29.0
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
18%
5.73
X/2
9%
4.96
X/X
15%
4.35
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
17%
3.46
2/X
6%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
34%
+6.2pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.5pp
32%
Away Win
39%
-6.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
54%
-2.0pp
48%
Over 2.5
46%
+2.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.8pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Örebro v IK Brage — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Örebro EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Brage EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -3%
1.53/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.31
+3% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2

Örebro vs IK Brage Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Örebro
0W-2D-4L
AWAY IK Brage
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.09.2023 IK Brage IK Brage 2-1 HT 0-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
15.04.2023 Örebro Örebro 0-2 HT 0-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
30.07.2022 Örebro Örebro 1-3 HT 0-2 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
04.04.2022 IK Brage IK Brage 3-0 HT 3-0 Örebro Örebro İSÇ2
29.02.2020 Örebro Örebro 3-3 HT 1-2 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇK
24.09.2013 Örebro Örebro 1-1 HT 1-1 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Örebro vs IK Brage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Örebro edged past IK Brage 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Örebro made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, IK Brage led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Örebro and 2.33 for IK Brage.

What was the final score of Örebro vs IK Brage?

Örebro 2-1 IK Brage in the Sweden - Superettan on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Örebro vs IK Brage?

Before kick-off our model rated a Örebro win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Örebro 40%, draw 28%, IK Brage 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Örebro) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Örebro) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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