Atletic America 1-4 Penya Encarnada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Andorra - 1st Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
6.35
Draw
20%
4.95
Away
62%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
3.17
Over 2.5
55%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
27%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
13%
+5.1pp
20%
Draw
17%
+3.6pp
62%
Away Win
70%
-8.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
28%
+16.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
72%
-16.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.9pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletic America EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Penya Encarnada EU Bookmakers 75%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.48/2.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/0.69
-16% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / -22%
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
278 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 484 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletic America
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Penya Encarnada
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
28.01.2024 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada 6-0 HT 2-0 Atletic America AND
16.01.2022 Atletic America 0-2 HT 0-1 Penya Encarnada Penya Encarnada ANDK
POST-MATCH Atletic America vs Penya Encarnada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Penya Encarnada cruised past Atletic America 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Penya Encarnada as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Penya Encarnada led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Atletic America and 4.00 for Penya Encarnada.

What was the final score of Atletic America vs Penya Encarnada?

Atletic America 1-4 Penya Encarnada in the Andorra - 1st Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletic America vs Penya Encarnada?

Before kick-off our model rated an Penya Encarnada win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Atletic America 18%, draw 20%, Penya Encarnada 62%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Penya Encarnada), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Penya Encarnada) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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