Al Thaid 1-3 Al Hamriyah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 28 Apr 2024

Al Thaid
1-3 HT 1-0
Al Hamriyah
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒16:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
UAE - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Al Thaid vs Al Hamriyah Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.12
Draw
35%
3.54
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.15
Over 2.5
48%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.56
No
49%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
43%
-7.8pp
35%
Draw
25%
+10.0pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.6pp
51%
BTTS Yes
60%
-9.2pp
49%
BTTS No
40%
+9.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Thaid v Al Hamriyah — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Thaid EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Hamriyah EU Bookmakers 36%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.00/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.53
-35% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
339 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 398 · 81%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.9

Al Thaid vs Al Hamriyah Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Thaid
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Hamriyah
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.40
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
17.12.2023 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
12.02.2023 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah 3-0 HT 1-0 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
02.10.2022 Al Thaid Al Thaid 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah BAE2
27.02.2022 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah 4-0 HT 2-0 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
12.11.2021 Al Thaid Al Thaid 2-3 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah BAE2
POST-MATCH Al Thaid vs Al Hamriyah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hamriyah got the better of Al Thaid 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (35% / 35% / 30%) promised a tight game; Al Hamriyah found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Al Hamriyah led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Thaid and 2.40 for Al Hamriyah.

What was the final score of Al Thaid vs Al Hamriyah?

Al Thaid 1-3 Al Hamriyah in the UAE - 1st Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Thaid vs Al Hamriyah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Thaid win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Al Thaid 35%, draw 35%, Al Hamriyah 30%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/35/30) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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