Trans Narva 1-1 Paide Linnameeskond — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Estonia - Premium League, 28 Apr 2024

Trans Narva
1-1 HT 1-0
Paide Linnameeskond
📅28/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Estonia - Premium League – 2024

Trans Narva vs Paide Linnameeskond Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.91
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
55%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
49%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
34%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
14%
+10.3pp
21%
Draw
20%
+1.0pp
55%
Away Win
66%
-11.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.8pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.7pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Trans Narva v Paide Linnameeskond — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trans Narva EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond EU Bookmakers 71%
+2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -10%
0.89/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/0.89
-17% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -19%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
289 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 437 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1

Trans Narva vs Paide Linnameeskond Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trans Narva
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.11.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 1-3 HT 0-2 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
27.08.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-0 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond EST1
28.05.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 1-2 HT 1-1 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
12.04.2023 Trans Narva Trans Narva 0-0 HT 0-0 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond ESTK
05.03.2023 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-1 HT 1-1 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1
02.10.2022 Paide Linnameeskond Paide Linnameeskond 2-0 HT 0-0 Trans Narva Trans Narva EST1

Trans Narva 1-1 Paide Linnameeskond — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trans Narva
1-1
AWAY Paide Linnameeskond
38% Ball Possession 62%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 9
POST-MATCH Trans Narva vs Paide Linnameeskond
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trans Narva and Paide Linnameeskond shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Paide Linnameeskond at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Trans Narva had 38% of the ball to Paide Linnameeskond's 62%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Paide Linnameeskond led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Trans Narva and 1.33 for Paide Linnameeskond.

What was the final score of Trans Narva vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Trans Narva 1-1 Paide Linnameeskond in the Estonia - Premium League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trans Narva vs Paide Linnameeskond?

Before kick-off our model rated an Paide Linnameeskond win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Trans Narva 24%, draw 21%, Paide Linnameeskond 55%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Paide Linnameeskond) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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