Ittifaq Marrakech 1-1 Chabab Ben Guerir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.57
Draw
30%
2.63
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.36
Over 2.5
33%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.29
No
60%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
4%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
36%
+5.8pp
29%
Draw
35%
-5.2pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-0.6pp
67%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.6pp
33%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.6pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.0pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ittifaq Marrakech EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Chabab Ben Guerir EU Bookmakers 33%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
0.79/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/0.97
-25% / +94% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +13%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
261 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ittifaq Marrakech
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Chabab Ben Guerir
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
28.10.2023 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir 0-1 Ittifaq Marrakech FAS2
27.02.2023 Ittifaq Marrakech 0-0 HT 0-0 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir FAS2
POST-MATCH Ittifaq Marrakech vs Chabab Ben Guerir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ittifaq Marrakech and Chabab Ben Guerir shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Ittifaq Marrakech at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (60%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ittifaq Marrakech had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Ittifaq Marrakech and 0.00 for Chabab Ben Guerir.

What was the final score of Ittifaq Marrakech vs Chabab Ben Guerir?

Ittifaq Marrakech 1-1 Chabab Ben Guerir in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ittifaq Marrakech vs Chabab Ben Guerir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ittifaq Marrakech win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Ittifaq Marrakech 41%, draw 29%, Chabab Ben Guerir 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ittifaq Marrakech), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ittifaq Marrakech) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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