Suwon Bluewings 1-1 Gyeongnam FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.72
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
24%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.21
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.66
6+ Goals
11%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.21 — our 27% vs market 25.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-5.2pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
24%
Away Win
21%
+3.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.0pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Suwon Bluewings EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyeongnam FC EU Bookmakers 24%
+27% / +27% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +11%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.51
+11% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / +1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
Crosses 17.7
0.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Suwon Bluewings
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Gyeongnam FC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.16 xG 1.29
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
413 Passes 242
81% Pass Accuracy 68%
22 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
19.10.2019 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 2-1 HT 1-1 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOK
25.08.2018 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings 1-0 HT 0-0 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC GKOR
30.08.2014 Gyeongnam FC Gyeongnam FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Suwon Bluewings Suwon Bluewings GKOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Suwon Bluewings
1-1
AWAY Gyeongnam FC
60% Ball Possession 40%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Suwon Bluewings vs Gyeongnam FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Suwon Bluewings and Gyeongnam FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Suwon Bluewings at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Suwon Bluewings had 60% of the ball to Gyeongnam FC's 40%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Suwon Bluewings had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Suwon Bluewings and 0.33 for Gyeongnam FC.

What was the final score of Suwon Bluewings vs Gyeongnam FC?

Suwon Bluewings 1-1 Gyeongnam FC in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Suwon Bluewings vs Gyeongnam FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Suwon Bluewings win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Suwon Bluewings 49%, draw 27%, Gyeongnam FC 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Suwon Bluewings) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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