North District 0-1 Hong Kong Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hong Kong - Premier League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.84
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
35%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.89
Over 2.5
59%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.35
No
41%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
32%
+9.5pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
35%
Away Win
44%
-8.2pp
41%
Under 2.5
31%
+9.4pp
59%
Over 2.5
69%
-9.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
70%
-11.3pp
41%
BTTS No
30%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME North District EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Hong Kong Rangers EU Bookmakers 48%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-21% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
283 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME North District
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Hong Kong Rangers
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
6 Yellow Cards 3
24.02.2024 Hong Kong Rangers Hong Kong Rangers 2-3 HT 1-1 North District North District HK1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME North District
0-1
AWAY Hong Kong Rangers
66% Ball Possession 34%
19 Total Shots 14
9 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 2
POST-MATCH North District vs Hong Kong Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hong Kong Rangers nicked a narrow win over North District 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was North District at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, North District had 66% of the ball to Hong Kong Rangers's 34%, shots finished 19-14.

What was the final score of North District vs Hong Kong Rangers?

North District 0-1 Hong Kong Rangers in the Hong Kong - Premier League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for North District vs Hong Kong Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a North District win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split North District 41%, draw 24%, Hong Kong Rangers 35%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (North District) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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