Al Nasar 1-2 Al Salmiyah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Kuwait - Premier League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒18:55 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.33
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.15
Over 2.5
58%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.18
2-3 Goals
42%
1.86
4-5 Goals
22%
3.03
6+ Goals
13%
9.43
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
10%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
39%
+4.9pp
22%
Draw
26%
-3.7pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
43%
-0.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
57%
+0.9pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.8pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nasar EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Salmiyah EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.87/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.60
+47% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
350 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nasar
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Al Salmiyah
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
25.12.2023 Al Nasar Al Nasar 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
30.08.2023 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 3-2 HT 0-1 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
26.02.2023 Al Nasar Al Nasar 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
14.10.2022 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
10.02.2022 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Nasar Al Nasar KUV
20.11.2021 Al Nasar Al Nasar 3-2 HT 0-2 Al Salmiyah Al Salmiyah KUV
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nasar
1-2
AWAY Al Salmiyah
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 22
5 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 8
POST-MATCH Al Nasar vs Al Salmiyah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Salmiyah nicked a narrow win over Al Nasar 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Nasar at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Nasar had 39% of the ball to Al Salmiyah's 61%, shots finished 8-22.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Salmiyah led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Nasar and 1.67 for Al Salmiyah.

What was the final score of Al Nasar vs Al Salmiyah?

Al Nasar 1-2 Al Salmiyah in the Kuwait - Premier League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nasar vs Al Salmiyah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nasar win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Al Nasar 44%, draw 22%, Al Salmiyah 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Nasar) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Nasar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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