Mjondalen 5-3 Valerenga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
4.71
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
53%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.03
Over 2.5
55%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.76
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.24
6+ Goals
11%
11.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
18%
+2.8pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.2pp
53%
Away Win
60%
-7.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
45%
-0.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
55%
+0.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.2pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjondalen EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Valerenga EU Bookmakers 64%
-13% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.06/2.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.00
-12% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
279 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 352 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjondalen
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Valerenga
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.41 xG 1.46
42% Ball Possession 58%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
246 Passes 395
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 27
23 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
05.12.2021 Valerenga Valerenga 2-0 HT 0-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR
24.05.2021 Mjondalen Mjondalen 1-1 HT 0-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
03.10.2020 Valerenga Valerenga 4-1 HT 1-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR
12.07.2020 Mjondalen Mjondalen 0-1 HT 0-1 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
01.12.2019 Mjondalen Mjondalen 1-0 HT 0-0 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
30.03.2019 Valerenga Valerenga 2-0 HT 1-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR
POST-MATCH Mjondalen vs Valerenga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjondalen saw off Valerenga 5-3. Half-time: 3-1. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Valerenga at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Valerenga led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Mjondalen and 1.67 for Valerenga.

What was the final score of Mjondalen vs Valerenga?

Mjondalen 5-3 Valerenga in the Norway - 1st Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjondalen vs Valerenga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Mjondalen 21%, draw 26%, Valerenga 53%. The final score 5-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Valerenga) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valerenga) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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