28/04/2024
·
16:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
2-1
Start II vs Madla Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
47%
25%
Draw
23%
33%
Away Win
30%
40%
Under 2.5
30%
60%
Over 2.5
70%
56%
BTTS Yes
71%
44%
BTTS No
29%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Start II v Madla — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Start II
EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY
Madla
EU Bookmakers 34%
+10% /
+10%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-26% /
-26%
1.93/0.89
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.22/2.50
-7%
/
+96%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-30%
/
-17%
44%
Ball Possession
56%
12
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Target
6
6
Corners
5
313 · 74%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
382 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
1.8
Yellow Cards
1.3
POST-MATCH
Start II vs Madla
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Start II ran out comfortable winners over Madla 3-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Start II as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.
What was the final score of Start II vs Madla?
Start II 3-0 Madla in the Norway - 3rd Division on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Start II vs Madla?
Before kick-off our model rated a Start II win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Start II 42%, draw 25%, Madla 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Start II), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Start II)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
28 Apr 2024