Alianza Atletico 1-2 ADT — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.64
Over 2.5
49%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
37%
+0.3pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.6pp
36%
Away Win
33%
+3.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alianza Atletico EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY ADT EU Bookmakers 36%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.37/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.49
+18% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -29%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
282 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 74%
16.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
14.8 Crosses 20.1
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alianza Atletico
1W-2D-1L
AWAY ADT
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
0.80 xG 1.11
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
259 Passes 165
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
15 Box Touches 18
13 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.09.2023 ADT ADT 1-0 HT 1-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
06.05.2023 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 1-1 HT 1-0 ADT ADT PER
10.09.2022 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 2-2 HT 2-1 ADT ADT PER
24.04.2022 ADT ADT 1-2 HT 0-1 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alianza Atletico
1-2
AWAY ADT
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
199 Passes 232
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
POST-MATCH Alianza Atletico vs ADT
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADT nicked a narrow win over Alianza Atletico 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; ADT found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Alianza Atletico had 49% of the ball to ADT's 51%, shots finished 16-10.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Alianza Atletico and 1.25 for ADT.

What was the final score of Alianza Atletico vs ADT?

Alianza Atletico 1-2 ADT in the Peru - Premier League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alianza Atletico vs ADT?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Atletico win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Alianza Atletico 38%, draw 26%, ADT 36%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Alianza Atletico), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alianza Atletico) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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