Dunajska Streda 5-3 Slovan Bratislava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
44%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.86
Over 2.5
47%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.73
No
51%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.27
2-3 Goals
36%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.6
6+ Goals
11%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 29% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
21%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
34%
-6.9pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
44%
Away Win
40%
+3.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
50%
+2.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
50%
-2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.1pp
51%
BTTS No
46%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunajska Streda EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Slovan Bratislava EU Bookmakers 45%
+11% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +16%
1.12/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.76/0.87
+33% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +28%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
266 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 77%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
15.5 Crosses 17.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunajska Streda
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Slovan Bratislava
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.11 xG 1.71
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
262 Passes 338
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
17 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2024 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 0-0 HT 0-0 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda SLVK
17.12.2023 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 2-1 HT 1-1 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda SLVK
17.09.2023 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda 3-1 HT 2-0 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava SLVK
07.05.2023 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda 2-3 HT 1-1 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava SLVK
09.04.2023 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava 2-1 HT 0-0 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda SLVK
12.02.2023 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda 1-1 HT 1-0 Slovan Bratislava Slovan Bratislava SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dunajska Streda
5-3
AWAY Slovan Bratislava
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Dunajska Streda vs Slovan Bratislava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunajska Streda beat Slovan Bratislava 5-3. Half-time: 3-0. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Slovan Bratislava at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Dunajska Streda had 46% of the ball to Slovan Bratislava's 54%, shots finished 16-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Slovan Bratislava led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dunajska Streda and 1.50 for Slovan Bratislava.

What was the final score of Dunajska Streda vs Slovan Bratislava?

Dunajska Streda 5-3 Slovan Bratislava in the Slovakia Super League on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunajska Streda vs Slovan Bratislava?

Before kick-off our model rated an Slovan Bratislava win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Dunajska Streda 27%, draw 29%, Slovan Bratislava 44%. The final score 5-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Slovan Bratislava) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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