Gorica 2-3 ND Primorje — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 28 Apr 2024

📅28/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.44
Over 2.5
38%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.29
No
58%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
19%
X/2
17%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
13%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.3pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.4pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.7pp
62%
Under 2.5
66%
-3.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
34%
+4.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+2.3pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gorica EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY ND Primorje EU Bookmakers 31%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+30% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gorica
2-3
AWAY ND Primorje
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Gorica vs ND Primorje
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ND Primorje edged past Gorica 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 28% / 33% — and on the day ND Primorje made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gorica had 58% of the ball to ND Primorje's 42%, shots finished 14-8.

What was the final score of Gorica vs ND Primorje?

Gorica 2-3 ND Primorje in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 28/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gorica vs ND Primorje?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gorica 38%, draw 28%, ND Primorje 33%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gorica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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